Novarly Parcel · UK coastal erosion · North Yorkshire
Coastal erosion in Scarborough
Official Environment Agency (NCERM 2024) projections for the fastest-receding frontage within ~1.5 km of Scarborough town centre:
| By 2055, if defences are not maintained | 6 m |
| By 2105, if defences are not maintained | 12 m |
| By 2105, worst-case climate, no defences | 13 m |
| By 2105, with planned management delivered | 0 m |
Metres of projected coastline recession, cumulative from today. Figures describe the worst nearby frontage — not any single property. Contains Environment Agency data © and database right, OGL v3.0.
Check a specific Scarborough postcode
Contains Environment Agency data © Environment Agency and database right, licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0. Screening only — not a survey or valuation.
How fast is the coast eroding at Scarborough?
On the fastest-receding frontage within about 1.5 km of Scarborough (North Yorkshire), the Environment Agency's NCERM 2024 projections show up to 6 m of coastline loss by 2055 and up to 13 m by 2105 if defences are not maintained. These figures describe the frontage, not any single property.
Will sea defences protect Scarborough?
With the planned shoreline management delivered, the projected recession on that same frontage falls to about 0 m by 2105 — effectively held. Whether plans are funded and maintained is the key uncertainty; the local Shoreline Management Plan sets the policy.
Should I buy a house near the coast in Scarborough?
Check the specific postcode against the official projections first — erosion varies sharply along a few hundred metres of coast. For any transaction, commission a coastal-specialist surveyor and read the Shoreline Management Plan. A free screening shows you the official numbers before you spend anything.
Coastal erosion in other towns: